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Workshop "R0 and related concepts: methods and illustrations"

29-30-31 October 2008

SAF - Amphithéâtre Bourgogne, 8 rue d'Athènes, 75009 Paris

https://colloque.inra.fr/r0

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2008

08.45 Conference registration

09.10

Opening remarks:

Pauline Ezanno, INRA ENVN UMR 1300 Bioepar, Nantes, France

General presentation

Renaud Lancelot, CIRAD-INRA UMR 15, EDEN Project coordinator, Montpellier, France

EDEN: an integrated project to assess the risk of vector-borne diseases

09.30

Keynote presentation: Hans Heesterbeek, Utrecht University, The Netherlands

Exploring the usefulness of R0 in structured populations

Chair: Suzanne Touzeau, INRA MIA-Jouy, France

10.30

Poster presentation: R0 and different modelling approaches

Chair: Elisabeta Vergu, INRA MIA-Jouy, France

Raphaël Duboz, CIRAD UR AGIRs, Montpellier, France

Anton Camacho, CNRS UMR 7625, Paris, France

Timo Szmiezek, ETH Zurich, Switzerland

Yasuhisa Saito, Kyungpook National University, Korea

Toshikazu Kuniya, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan

The condition of the permanence and extinction for a non autonomous SEIRS epidemic model

11.00 Refreshment break

11.30

Contributed session: R0 in structured populations and periodic environment

Chair: Hans Heesterbeek, Utrecht University, The Netherlands

Minus van Baalen, CNRS UMR 7625, Paris, France

Hans Metz, Leiden University, The Netherlands

Nicolas Bacaër, IRD, Bondy, France

13.00 Lunch

14.30

Keynote presentation: Gerardo Chowell, Arizona State University, USA

Chair: P-Y Boëlle, INSERM UMR-S 707, Paris, France

15.30

Contributed session: R0 and influenza

Chair: Gerardo Chowell, Arizona State University, USA

Cécile Viboud, NIH, Bethesda, USA

Sébastien Ballesteros, CNRS UMR 7625, Paris, France

Antigenic drift co-circulating clusters conferring partial cross-immunity

16.30 Refreshment break

17.00

Contributed session: R0 and evolutionary dynamics

Chair: Hans Metz, Leiden University, The Netherlands

Maud Lélu, CNRS UMR 5558, Lyon, France

Gaël Thébaud, INRA UMR BGPI, Montpellier, France; University of Glasgow, UK

Optimal replication strategy for a virus with a high mutation rate: insights from a deterministic model for R0 and the generation interval distribution

18.00-18.15

Antoine Flahault, Dean of EHESP School of Public Health

Emerging disease epidemics and public health education

20.00-23.00 Gala dinner

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2008

09.00

Keynote presentation: Matt Keeling, University of Warwick, UK

Chair: Amandine Lurette, INRA ENVN UMR 1300 Bioepar, Nantes, France

10.00

Poster presentation: R0 and illustrations

Chair: Pauline Ezanno, INRA ENVN UMR 1300 Bioepar, Nantes, France

Imke Traulsen, Christian Albrechts University, Kiel, Germany

Charlotte Ragagli, Università degli Studi di Torino, Italy

Hélène Guis, CIRAD, UR AGIRs, Montpellier ; Liverpool University, UK

From vectorial capacity to R0 : the example of bluetongue

Yukihiko Nakata, Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan

The dynamics of multi-strain pathogen systems conferring cross-immunity with antigenic space

10.30 Refreshment break

11.00

Contributed session: R0, contact networks and spatial heterogeneity

Chair: Matt Keeling, University of Warwick, UK

Istvan Kiss, University of Sussex, UK

Stéphan Clémençon, CNRS Telecom Paristech UMR 5141, France

Florence Débarre, CNRS UMR 5175, Montpellier, France

12.30 Lunch

14.00

Keynote presentation: David Rogers, University of Oxford, UK

Abiotic and biotic influences on R0 for vector-borne diseases

Chair: Gwenaël Vourc’h, INRA EA, Theix, France

15.00

Contributed session: R0 and risk maps

Chair: David Rogers, University of Oxford, UK

Nienke Hartemink, Utrech University, The Netherlands

R0 for vector-borne diseases; models and risk maps

Hélène Guis, CIRAD, UR AGIRs, Montpellier ; Liverpool University, UK

Mapping the effects of climate change on bluetongue transmission in Europe

16.00 Refreshment break

16.30

Contributed session: R0 and illustrations

Chair: Renaud Lancelot, CIRAD-INRA UMR 15, EDEN Project coordinator, Montpellier, France

Jean-Dominique Lebreton, CNRS UMR 5175, Montpellier, France

Demographic concepts and epidemiology: a multistate matrix model for the Serengeti Hyena

Mathieu Andraud, AFSSA Ploufragan, France

Agnès Waret, CIRAD, UR AGIRs, Montpellier, Royal Veterinary College, London, UK; Royal Veterinary College, London, UK

Defining the optimum control effort for peste des petits ruminants (PPR)

18.00-18.15 Closing remarks: Elisabeta Vergu, INRA MIA-Jouy, France

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2008

09.00

Tutorial 1: Hans Heesterbeek, Utrecht University, The Netherlands

An advanced course on R0 (lecture and exercises)

12.00 Lunch
14.00-17.00

Tutorial 2: Simon Cauchemez, Imperial College, UK

Introduction to the methods and issues surrounding parameter estimation in epidemic models (lab)


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