Eden

Emerging Diseases in a Changing european environment

Home / What's on ? / Training / Workshop "R0 and related concepts: methods and illustrations"

Contact

EDEN Data Website

EDEN PhD Network website

Workshop "R0 and related concepts: methods and illustrations"

29-30-31 October 2008

SAF - Amphithéâtre Bourgogne, 8 rue d'Athènes, 75009 Paris

https://colloque.inra.fr/r0

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 29, 2008
08.45	Conference registration
09.10	Opening remarks: Pauline Ezanno , INRA ENVN UMR 1300 Bioepar, Nantes, France General presentation Renaud Lancelot , CIRAD-INRA UMR 15, EDEN Project coordinator, Montpellier, France EDEN: an integrated project to assess the risk of vector-borne diseases
09.30	Keynote presentation: Hans Heesterbeek , Utrecht University , The Netherlands Exploring the usefulness of R0 in structured populations Chair: Suzanne Touzeau, INRA MIA-Jouy, France
10.30	Poster presentation: R0 and different modelling approaches Chair: Elisabeta Vergu, INRA MIA-Jouy, France Raphaël Duboz , CIRAD UR AGIRs, Montpellier, France How can we use Individual Based Model for the computation of R0 and what can we learn? [242.70 kB] Raphaël Duboz - Poster [555.24 kB] Anton Camacho , CNRS UMR 7625, Paris, France Limitations of the Van Kampen approach for stochastic epidemiological model [258.22 kB] Anton Camacho - Poster [1.66 MB] Timo Szmiezek , ETH Zurich, Switzerland Introducing an exposure-dependent transmission model into simulations of disease spread: effects on the generation of secondary cases [162.64 kB] Timo Szmiezek - poster [197.74 kB] Yasuhisa Saito , Kyungpook National University, Korea A multi-community epidemic model with central infection place [148.97 kB] Yasuhisa Saito - Poster [1.07 MB] Toshikazu Kuniya , Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan The condition of the permanence and extinction for a non autonomous SEIRS epidemic model
11.00	Refreshment break
11.30	Contributed session: R0 in structured populations and periodic environment Chair: Hans Heesterbeek, Utrecht University, The Netherlands Minus van Baalen , CNRS UMR 7625, Paris, France R0 in space and stage structured populations [1.76 MB] Hans Metz , Leiden University, The Netherlands A simple fitness proxy for ESS calculations in structured populations with continuous traits [1.09 MB] Nicolas Bacaër , IRD, Bondy, France Ro in a periodic environment [90.16 kB]
13.00	Lunch
14.30	Keynote presentation: Gerardo Chowell , Arizona State University, USA Comparative estimation of the reproduction number of influenza [2.18 MB] Chair: P-Y Boëlle, INSERM UMR-S 707, Paris, France
15.30	Contributed session: R0 and influenza Chair: Gerardo Chowell , Arizona State University, USA Cécile Viboud , NIH, Bethesda, USA Spatial-temporal patterns in the transmissibility of influenza [2.21 MB] Sébastien Ballesteros , CNRS UMR 7625, Paris, France Antigenic drift co-circulating clusters conferring partial cross-immunity
16.30	Refreshment break
17.00	Contributed session: R0 and evolutionary dynamics Chair: Hans Metz, Leiden University, The Netherlands Maud Lélu , CNRS UMR 5558, Lyon, France Toxoplasma gondii transmission: using R0 to understand its dynamics and evolution [1.03 MB] Gaël Thébaud , INRA UMR BGPI, Montpellier, France; University of Glasgow, UK Optimal replication strategy for a virus with a high mutation rate: insights from a deterministic model for R0 and the generation interval distribution
18.00-18.15	Antoine Flahault , Dean of EHESP School of Public Health Emerging disease epidemics and public health education
20.00-23.00	Gala dinner
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2008
09.00	Keynote presentation: Matt Keeling , University of Warwick, UK R0 and the impact of spatial structure [1.89 MB] Chair: Amandine Lurette, INRA ENVN UMR 1300 Bioepar, Nantes, France
10.00	Poster presentation: R0 and illustrations Chair: Pauline Ezanno, INRA ENVN UMR 1300 Bioepar, Nantes, France Imke Traulsen , Christian Albrechts University, Kiel, Germany Evaluation of preventive culling and emergency vaccination to eradicate foot and mouth disease epidemics [328.48 kB] Imke Traulsen - Poster [417.07 kB] Charlotte Ragagli , Università degli Studi di Torino, Italy Dynamics of Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato transmission between ticks and two different hosts: basic reproductive number estimation, in an italian Natural Reserve [257.09 kB] Charlotte Ragagli - Poster [98.01 kB] Hélène Guis , CIRAD, UR AGIRs, Montpellier ; Liverpool University, UK From vectorial capacity to R0 : the example of bluetongue Yukihiko Nakata , Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan The dynamics of multi-strain pathogen systems conferring cross-immunity with antigenic space
10.30	Refreshment break
11.00	Contributed session: R0 , contact networks and spatial heterogeneity Chair: Matt Keeling, University of Warwick, UK Istvan Kiss, University of Sussex, UK Epidemic outbreaks in preferentially mixed populations [379.17 kB] Stéphan Clémençon , CNRS Telecom Paristech UMR 5141, France A stochastic SIR model with contact-tracing [423.97 kB] Florence Débarre , CNRS UMR 5175, Montpellier, France Evolutionary epidemiology of drug-resistance in space [3.53 MB]
12.30	Lunch
14.00	Keynote presentation: David Rogers , University of Oxford, UK Abiotic and biotic influences on R0 for vector-borne diseases Chair: Gwenaël Vourc’h, INRA EA, Theix, France
15.00	Contributed session: R0 and risk maps Chair: David Rogers, University of Oxford, UK Nienke Hartemink , Utrech University, The Netherlands R0 for vector-borne diseases; models and risk maps Hélène Guis , CIRAD, UR AGIRs, Montpellier ; Liverpool University, UK Mapping the effects of climate change on bluetongue transmission in Europe
16.00	Refreshment break
16.30	Contributed session: R0 and illustrations Chair: Renaud Lancelot, CIRAD-INRA UMR 15, EDEN Project coordinator, Montpellier, France Jean-Dominique Lebreton , CNRS UMR 5175, Montpellier, France Demographic concepts and epidemiology: a multistate matrix model for the Serengeti Hyena Mathieu Andraud , AFSSA Ploufragan, France Estimation of R0 for porcine circovirus type 2 (PCV2) using data from serial transmission experiments [1.97 MB] Agnès Waret , CIRAD, UR AGIRs, Montpellier, Royal Veterinary College, London, UK; Royal Veterinary College, London, UK Defining the optimum control effort for peste des petits ruminants (PPR)
18.00-18.15	Closing remarks: Elisabeta Vergu , INRA MIA-Jouy, France
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 31, 2008
09.00	Tutorial 1 : Hans Heesterbeek , Utrecht University, The Netherlands An advanced course on R0 (lecture and exercises)
12.00	Lunch
14.00-17.00	Tutorial 2 : Simon Cauchemez , Imperial College, UK Introduction to the methods and issues surrounding parameter estimation in epidemic models (lab)